A white paper for local government leaders. What will change, what will not, and what council CEOs should do now.


Written for councils in Australia and New Zealand. Tested against global evidence. Four numbers frame the decade ahead.
to replace council assets already in poor condition
in NSW hold less than three months' cash
average rates rise planned by NZ councils in 2026
Four numbers, one conclusion: waiting is no longer a strategy.
It is with great pleasure that I present our new white paper, Governing in the Age of Disruption.
This is the first white paper we have published in a while, and a new departure for Symphony3: we have complemented our own graft and insights with AI. Claude has been a new member of the team as researcher, prompter, first drafter and much more.
We published it to coincide with three events in our business in recent months:
The release of an AI Infringement Assistant, the first agentic solution we have in production in councils.
A webinar on leadership and the need for wisdom in the AI age with Professor Ronan McDonald, University of Melbourne.
An overhaul of our own business, rebuilding how we work, AI first, while protecting the things about us that will not change.
All three caused the leaders in our business to think deeply about the implications of AI, both for us and for the organisations and communities we serve. How do we lead in an age where systems are, in the broad sense, more intelligent than we are? How do we keep up when the rate of change is exponential? How do we make sure we have the people, skills and data foundations to take advantage of what is coming, while still building a place where people can flourish? How do we help councils deliver AI that is ethical and human-centred? And in an era where the public sector is squeezed, are there new ways to generate revenue?
This paper asks more questions than it answers. We want CEOs and senior leaders to use it as a tool for thinking deeply about leading efficiently, ethically and energetically in a highly disruptive age. We do not claim to have all the answers, but we do bring experience and diverse skills, and we hope there are perspectives here you can take into your working life.
The body of this document was researched and drafted by Claude, under prompting and guidance from the Symphony3 team, and edited by human beings. Woven through it are articles written by real, experienced people with expertise across technology, business, public sector management and academia. We have tried to combine the intelligence of AI with the wisdom of experienced people, and we hope the result is valuable, insightful and thought provoking.
Kind regards,
Fergal Coleman
Co-Founder and Chief Revenue Officer at Symphony3
This paper stands on evidence no previous local government publication has had: LGPro's 2026 AI adoption baseline, the first sector-wide study of its kind, surveying 2,500 staff across 22 Victorian councils. It shows a workforce already moving, and a leadership gap opening behind it. The rest of the evidence base converges on the same conclusion.
Fiscal constraints are structural, not cyclical. Communities are older, more diverse, and more demanding. Infrastructure built in the post-war era is reaching the end of its life. Climate events are reshaping what "service continuity" means. And artificial intelligence is moving from pilot to operational reality faster than most organisations have updated their procurement rules.
Across Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada, and the broader Western world, councils and municipalities are navigating a convergence of pressures that individually are familiar, but collectively are unprecedented.
This paper is written for local government CEOs who understand that waiting for conditions to stabilise is no longer a strategy. It draws on the Deloitte Centre for Government Insights' Government Trends 2026 report, KPMG's April 2026 insights from the PSN Local Government Focus Day, the Davidson Australian Local Government CEO Index 2025, the World Economic Forum's Global Risks Report 2026, Intermedium's 2026 Digital Government Maturity Indicator, and LGPro's 2026 AI Adoption in Victorian Local Government baseline report (the first sector-wide evidence base of its kind). Together these sources provide a converging picture of where local government is heading.
We examine the changing landscape through a PESTEL analysis and six structural trends, each tested against global evidence; we set out a framework for managing change that separates what will change in the next ten years from what will not, and pairs each condition of uncertainty with the leadership response it demands; and we translate all of it into a CEO playbook for change. The 'what if' scenarios every council CEO should be working through are gathered in Appendix A. These are not questions with easy answers. They are the questions that separate organisations that adapt from those that are overtaken.
Build leadership wisdom
Build teams with the skills to work with AI
Look for revenue opportunities
Get your IT foundations right
Collaborate with your peers
The six pressures shaping councils today and the structural trends they become over the next decade.
Councils are not facing six separate problems. Political, economic, social, technological, environmental and legal pressures are converging into one operating reality: demand is rising faster than conventional revenue and organisational capacity.
PESTEL captures the pressures facing councils now. The six structural trends that follow show where those pressures are taking local government over the next decade. The evidence draws on Australia, New Zealand and comparable Western jurisdictions; the consequences are local.
P Political |
|
|
E Economic |
|
|
S Social |
|
|
T Technology |
|
|
E Environmental |
|
|
L Legal |
|
|
Figure 1. PESTEL analysis of the factors shaping Western local government, with global evidence cited against each. Full source details appear in Appendix C.
The snapshot becomes more useful when translated into direction. Over the next decade, today's pressures converge into six structural trends. Each creates a specific leadership question for councils now.
01Climate and environment | Direction to 2036 Extreme events, insurance repricing and environmental obligations become normal operating conditions rather than exceptional programs. | CEO implication Embed climate and emergency readiness in asset, workforce and financial planning. Which risks are still being managed as temporary? |
02Digitalisation and AI | Direction to 2036 AI moves from individual tools to redesigned services and operations. Citizen expectations continue to be set outside government. | CEO implication Build the data, integration, governance and workforce capability needed to scale safely. Which three services are ready to redesign? |
03Demographic reshaping | Direction to 2036 Ageing, migration and dual-career households alter demand, accessibility needs, language requirements and service hours. | CEO implication Model service and asset demand over 30 years, not ten. Who will need more from council, and who may be excluded? |
04Urbanisation and housing pressure | Direction to 2036 Growth concentrates in cities and outer suburbs while some smaller communities contract; housing pressure deepens uneven outcomes. | CEO implication Connect housing, infrastructure and fiscal-capacity scenarios. Can the councils absorbing growth afford the infrastructure it requires? |
05Geopolitics and inequality | Direction to 2036 Supply-chain volatility, energy risk, economic inequality and political polarisation continue to reach council budgets and decisions. | CEO implication Stress-test costs, contractors and contested decisions. Where does external volatility create a single point of failure? |
06The hub economy | Direction to 2036 Connected, one-stop service models become the benchmark. Fragmented departmental channels feel increasingly unacceptable. | CEO implication Design one front door around the citizen rather than the organisation. What must connect before the experience can improve? |
Figure 2. Six structural trends, consolidating the eleven megatrends most commonly identified in the global literature, with their implications for council operations, services and strategy.
Artificial intelligence is rapidly becoming a practical leadership issue for local government, not simply a technology discussion. For LGPro, one of the clearest signals came through our research into the future of the local government workforce: AI literacy is emerging as a critical capability across the sector. At the same time, leaders have lacked a clear, sector-wide picture of how AI is actually being adopted and what is needed to translate its potential into meaningful results.
That is why LGPro launched Australia's first research into AI adoption across Victorian local government earlier this year. It provides an important baseline for the sector, helping us move from assumptions and isolated examples towards informed discussion and more confident decision-making. It gives leaders practical evidence about what is driving adoption, what is holding it back, and how councils can share in the benefits.
In a sector facing persistent financial pressures, growing community expectations, and continuing workforce challenges, productivity gains of this kind cannot be dismissed. However, the research also reinforces that successful adoption is not achieved simply by providing access to new tools.
Different groups of employees are engaging with AI in very different ways. Some are confident and active users, while others are constrained by capability, access, uncertainty, or legitimate concerns about risk. Others are choosing not to participate at all. Each group requires a different response. A single training program or technology rollout will not be enough. Councils need a human-centred approach that builds literacy and confidence, sets clear expectations, maintains appropriate safeguards, and gives employees a meaningful role in redesigning their work.
For CEOs, the starting point is the same as it would be for any other significant investment: a clear understanding of the purpose. AI needs to be connected to organisational priorities, desired outcomes, and measurable public value. This is particularly important when leaders are balancing many competing demands. The strongest case for AI will not be that the technology is new, but that it can help address known barriers, strengthen financial sustainability, improve services, and enable employees to focus on work requiring judgement, empathy, creativity, and connection.
No council should have to navigate this transition alone. Much of the necessary experience and expertise already exists within local government. LGPro's role here is to help connect it. Through our networks, Special Interest Groups, research, and professional development platforms, we are making the knowledge base and collective wisdom that is growing in this space more accessible, reducing duplicated effort, and creating opportunities for councils to learn from one another.
Our ambition is that the sector moves beyond anxiety and uncertainty towards the confident, responsible, and practical use of AI. We want to see the conversation evolve to be less narrowly focused on the spectre of job insecurity and more focused on how AI can genuinely help people perform their roles more effectively and meaningfully. Done well, this transition can be a great enabler, improving productivity, reducing barriers to work, and strengthening local government's position as an employer of choice.
Our ongoing research and partnership with thought leaders across the sector has been a starting point, not a conclusion. Papers like this continue this important knowledge sharing. LGPro intends to build on this evidence base and support papers like this so that they can make the greatest practical difference. By learning together, local government can shape an approach to AI — and the many challenges and opportunities we face as a sector — that strengthens both our workforce and the communities we serve.
Separate what changes from what endures; then meet each condition of uncertainty with the leadership response it demands.
The framework has three parts: redesign the delivery model, protect the foundations that make change legitimate, and lead through uncertainty without waiting for a complete picture.
Services, workforce, revenue, assets and engagement are all open to redesign.
Mandate, stewardship, trust, human judgement and accountable leadership remain.
Figure 3. The strategic equation: protect the constants, change the delivery.
Routine interactions become automated; connected front doors and proactive services become normal. People remain focused on exceptions and high-stakes cases.
Routine tasks contract while AI fluency, specialist capability, skills-based deployment and decisions closer to delivery become more valuable.
Traditional reliance on rates may remain, augmented by alternative revenue, predictive asset management, outcome-based contracting and 20–30 year modelling.
Engagement becomes more continuous; climate operations, cross-council collaboration, transparency and explainability grow in importance.
Figure 4. Four domains of directionally certain change. The pace will vary, but the direction is clear.
Any serious strategic thinker must answer a deceptively simple question: what will be the same in ten years' time? These are the foundations to protect precisely because everything around them is in motion.
Communities will still need local services, representation and stewardship. Delivery mechanisms will change; the obligation will not.
Roads, drains, parks, buildings and waste facilities remain local responsibilities. Technology changes how they are managed, not whether they must be.
Complex, sensitive and high-stakes decisions still require empathy, context and a person who can explain and own the outcome.
Technology can support transparency and consistency, but it cannot substitute for honesty, competence and visible responsibility.
Councils will still have more work than money and time. Better tools can narrow the gap, but difficult service and investment choices remain.
Emergency coordination and contested trade-offs depend on knowledge of local geography, community leaders and vulnerable people, and leaders willing to act.
Knowing what will change and what will endure still leaves the hardest task: leading while the picture is incomplete. VUCA turns four different conditions into four practical leadership responses.
Energy prices, climate events, AI capability and political cycles can shift quickly. Hold the destination steady: define the long-term community outcomes and constants that short-term shocks must not displace.
Migration, interest rates, technology and funding cannot be predicted precisely. Invest in understanding: combine reliable data, community intelligence and regular scenario work.
Housing, workforce, fiscal capacity and community cohesion interact. Create clarity: narrow the priorities, make clear who can decide what and make trade-offs visible before complexity becomes paralysis.
AI governance, climate adaptation and new service models have no settled playbook. Build agility: test, learn, stop or scale without losing direction. Agile operating models will navigate ambiguity better than rigid annual planning cycles.
Figure 5. The VUCA framework: each condition and the leadership response it demands.
AI can now draft your media releases, answer your residents' questions and summarise your board papers in seconds. So what's left for the humans? My answer: the part that was always hardest. The machine can tell you what an answer looks like. It cannot tell you what matters, what's at stake, or who bears the consequences. That is judgement, and in the AI age it becomes your scarcest asset — not your cheapest.
Think of the difference between a new graduate planner and your best senior officer. On paper they know the same rules. But the senior officer knows which developer will lodge an appeal, which street will pack the gallery at the next council meeting, and when "technically compliant" still isn't the right call. The Greeks called this phronesis — practical wisdom: judgement built from experience, proportion and responsibility. AI has read everything and experienced nothing. It is a brilliant graduate who has never sat through an angry public meeting.
The machine reckons; people judge. Let AI do the counting, classifying and drafting — but any decision about what matters belongs to a person with a name.
AI's great talent is smoothness. Ask it for a response to a community complaint about a pool closure and you'll get something polished, calm and reasonable-sounding in ten seconds. That smoothness is seductive — and it's exactly where the danger sits, because fluency is not evidence. A confident answer about permit requirements can be flatly wrong, and it reads identically to a right one.
The remedy is deliberate human friction. The hour your executive team spends arguing over the wording of a difficult announcement isn't wasted time — it's usually where someone says "hang on, have we actually consulted the residents' group?" The awkward first draft is where thinking happens; skip it and you skip the thinking. And the machine doesn't carry your scars: it doesn't know that the last time council used the word "rationalisation" about a library it made the front page, or why the 2019 depot consultation went so badly. Your veterans know. Keep them in the loop.
Fluency is not evidence — smooth is not the same as right. The scars aren't in the training data. And don't automate the apprenticeship: if juniors never write the hard first draft, you'll have no seniors in ten years.
Because AI makes everything faster, speed stops being a differentiator — and slowness becomes a choice you can make on purpose. I call this strategic slowness. Some things should be fast: rates queries, bin-day questions, routine correspondence. But some situations need hesitation, consultation, or an honest "this is not yet settled" — and AI never produces that answer. It always gives you something clean. A hardship application, a contested rezoning, anything touching a vulnerable resident: these deserve the slow lane, precisely because a fast, plausible answer is available.
Rates queries · bin-day questions · routine correspondence
Hardship applications · contested rezonings · anything touching a vulnerable resident
Figure 6. Strategic slowness: the decisions that deserve the slow lane, precisely because a fast, plausible answer is available.
The more easily the machine answers, the more you should ask whether it's the machine's question to answer. Slow is a feature, not a bug — for the decisions that deserve it.
When Air Canada's chatbot gave a customer wrong information about refunds, a tribunal held the airline responsible. The tool cannot absorb liability, and neither can "the AI did it." If your council's chatbot tells a resident they don't need a permit, that is council advice. If a report goes out under your name, it is your report, whoever — or whatever — drafted it. There's a cautionary tale here: a senior university leader published an article defending standards on AI use, and it was later removed when it was revealed that AI had assisted in its drafting. The reputational damage came not from using the tool but from the gap between what was claimed and what was done. Use AI openly, disclose it where it matters, and never let disclosure substitute for ownership.
If the machine wrote it, you still own it. Responsibility can't be laundered through a tool.
None of this is anti-AI. From the printing press to the internet, every wave of technology has democratised knowledge, triggered a panic about human capacity, and ultimately given us new capabilities. AI, well overseen, can be a patient one-on-one explainer for every member of staff and every resident — that is a profound opportunity for local government. The machines will keep getting faster and smoother. That is precisely why the value of slow, accountable, experienced human judgement is rising, not falling. The job of the CEO is to make sure the council still has it.
The task is not to preserve old methods for their own sake, but to protect enduring purposes – trust, service, accountability, judgement – while adapting the means by which they are delivered.
Our top five human recommendations, followed by two full playbooks covering a 12 to 36 month action agenda and a leadership discussion guide.
The machine reckons; people judge. Build the habits that keep judgement human: verify before you trust, keep the hard first drafts, choose strategic slowness for decisions that deserve it, and remember that if the machine wrote it, you still own it. Design human-AI collaboration deliberately, and lead the community conversation about the future.
AI literacy is now a core capability, and one training program won't get you there. Different groups of staff need different support. Give people the tools, training and permission to redesign their own work, and don't automate the apprenticeship your future leaders need. Provide practical AI literacy for all staff, decision-making and risk training for managers, and deeper technical training for specialist roles.
Know every detail of every line in your revenue portfolio. Assume rates alone will not close the fiscal gap: pursue non-rates revenue with the discipline of a commercial revenue manager, and use AI to lower the cost of finding and testing new opportunities.
AI is only as good as the data underneath it. That means good, accessible data: clean, complete, and available via API. Integration comes before intelligence: fix the plumbing and every AI initiative that follows gets cheaper, faster and safer.
No council should navigate this alone. The sector's collective experience is its greatest asset: share what works through your networks and peak bodies, reuse rather than reinvent, and learn from the councils one step ahead of you.
Strategy without execution is wishful thinking. The following playbooks translate the research, structural trends and principles in this paper into concrete actions for local government CEOs operating in two distinct contexts: rural and regional councils, and metropolitan councils. While the underlying conditions are shared, the priority actions, the scale of execution, and the nature of the challenges differ materially. Each playbook covers a 12 to 36 month horizon: long enough to make meaningful structural progress, short enough to be actionable within a CEO's strategic cycle. Actions are sequenced to build foundational capability before scaling technology, consistent with the 'simplify then digitise' principle that runs through all the evidence.
Rate your council against each focus area, current state versus desired outcome.
Choose the focus areas where the gap is largest.
Commit them to your next annual plan and budget cycle.
Figure 7. Turning the playbooks into your plan.
Rural and regional councils face the sharpest version of the 'more work than money and time' challenge. Smaller rate bases, higher per-capita infrastructure costs, workforce recruitment and retention difficulties, ageing populations, and geographic isolation combine to create a fundamentally different strategic context. The playbook below prioritises actions that are proportionate in scale, collaborative in nature, and designed to build the foundations that make everything else possible.
| Focus area | Key actions | Desired outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Financial sustainability & revenue resilience | Conduct a frank cost-to-serve analysis across all services using activity-based costing, identifying the five services with the highest cost and lowest strategic value. | Clear evidence base for service rationalisation decisions, presented to elected members with confidence. |
| Build a 30-year Long-Term Financial Plan scenario model that explicitly shows the compounding service gap if rate rises are capped at CPI against 5–6% cost base growth. | Community and elected member understanding of the structural fiscal position, enabling honest conversations before crises hit. | |
| Identify at least two asset monetisation or alternative revenue opportunities (surplus land, data licensing, shared infrastructure) and develop a business case for each. | At least one new non-rates revenue stream initiated within 36 months. | |
| Join or establish a regional shared services arrangement with neighbouring councils for at least one back-office function. | Measurable cost reduction in the shared function, freeing resources for frontline services. | |
| Infrastructure & asset management | Commission an independent condition assessment of the top 20% of assets by replacement cost to validate or challenge Long-Term Financial Plan assumptions. | A defensible, evidence-based infrastructure gap figure to support grant applications. |
| Pilot IoT-based monitoring on the highest-risk assets to move from reactive to predictive maintenance on at least one asset class. | Demonstrated reduction in emergency repair costs and extended asset life. | |
| Develop a climate adaptation plan that maps flood, fire, and extreme heat risks onto the asset register, with prioritised capital responses over 10 years. | Insurance exposure and community risk managed proactively. | |
| Adopt a drone inspection program for hard-to-access infrastructure including culverts, bridges, and retaining walls. | Inspection costs reduced, inspector safety improved, condition data quality enhanced. | |
| Digital foundations & data quality | Conduct an honest data maturity assessment against KPMG's four priority areas: digital foundations, process automation, workforce capability, and data use. | A clear baseline identifying the gaps most critical to fix before AI investment generates returns. |
| Establish data governance for the top five data sets that matter most: asset condition, customer contacts, financial actuals, workforce, and community demographics. | Reliable, consistent data that supports evidence-based decisions, and is AI-ready. | |
| Consolidate citizen contact channels onto a single CRM or contact management system. | Reduced duplication and a foundation for AI-assisted triage. | |
| Partner with one or two neighbouring councils on a shared data platform or regional digital infrastructure investment. | Digital capabilities that would be unaffordable alone become accessible through collaboration. | |
| AI adoption & service automation | Define three specific AI use cases linked to operational pain points and pilot at least one within 12 months. | Measurable staff time savings, with a proof-of-concept that builds internal confidence. |
| Fix the process before deploying the technology: map and simplify the target process before any AI tool is implemented. | AI implementation that generates genuine efficiency gains, consistent with the Moorabool Shire model. | |
| Establish an AI governance policy that defines which decisions can be automated, which need human review, and which must remain fully human. | Legal and ethical risk managed from the outset; community confidence in responsible AI use. | |
| Model the full operating cost of each AI initiative (including usage, integration, data, security, vendor and oversight costs) and develop mitigation plans for significant cost increases as adoption scales. | AI budgets remain sustainable as usage grows. | |
| Invest in practical AI literacy for all staff, decision-making and risk training for managers, and deeper technical training for specialist roles. | A workforce capable of working effectively with AI within 24 months. | |
| Workforce & organisational capability | Model the impact of predicted retirements, demographic shifts, and AI-driven role changes over the next five years. | A proactive workforce strategy with succession plans for critical roles. |
| Develop a flexible work and workforce housing strategy to address recruiting staff who cannot afford to live in high-cost or remote communities. | Improved recruitment outcomes and reduced vacancy rates in hard-to-fill roles. | |
| Redesign at least one high-volume internal process around outcomes and automation, redistributing staff time to higher-value work. | Demonstrated productivity improvement, with staff redeployed to community-facing roles. | |
| Build leadership capability in VUCA navigation: scenario planning, strategic foresight, adaptive leadership development. | A leadership team that responds to volatility with clarity and agility. | |
| Community trust & democratic engagement | Replace or supplement one annual consultation process with an always-on digital engagement platform. | Richer, more representative community input with reduced consultation fatigue. |
| Publish a plain-language community report on the council's financial position and facilitate at least two community conversations about trade-offs. | Community understanding that builds support for difficult decisions. | |
| Establish a proactive transparency framework: publish decision rationale, procurement outcomes, and performance data. | Community trust maintained or rebuilt through demonstrated accountability. |
Metropolitan councils face a different configuration of the same conditions: rapid population growth, housing delivery pressure, more complex multi-stakeholder environments, greater fiscal capacity but also greater service obligation, and communities with the highest digital expectations in the country. The playbook below is oriented toward councils with the scale to lead, and the responsibility to do so, on digital transformation, climate adaptation, and democratic renewal.
| Focus area | Key actions | Desired outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Financial sustainability & revenue innovation | Develop and publish a 30-year financial sustainability strategy modelling population growth, infrastructure demand, and service expectations against constrained rate revenue. | A financial narrative that positions the council as honest and strategically competent. |
| Pursue land value capture, developer contribution reform, and asset recycling opportunities as material revenue strategies, not afterthoughts. | At least one significant alternative revenue stream operational within 36 months. | |
| Adopt outcome-based contracting for at least two major service contracts, linking payment to verified results. | Improved service performance and financial accountability. | |
| Establish a financial analytics function capable of modelling cost drivers, demand forecasts, and scenario impacts in real time. | Decisions informed by live financial intelligence rather than historical reporting. | |
| Housing delivery & planning reform | Develop a proactive housing supply strategy positioning the council as a delivery partner with the state government, including streamlined pathways for compliant applications. | Reduced assessment timeframes and a reputational position as a growth-enabling council. |
| Implement AI-assisted development application pre-screening that checks compliance with planning scheme provisions before lodgement. | Reduced assessment time and improved developer experience. | |
| Establish a housing affordability lens on all planning decisions, including workforce housing implications of land use restrictions. | Planning decisions that contribute to affordability rather than worsening it. | |
| Build a digital regulatory twin of the planning scheme that flags overlaps and auto-generates plain-language compliance guidance. | Significantly reduced staff time on pre-application queries and improved applicant experience. | |
| Digital service transformation | Implement a unified citizen portal (a 'single pane of glass') integrating all council services with identity-verified personalisation. | Seamless, joined-up service; council brand and satisfaction scores improve materially. |
| Deploy agentic AI for the top five highest-volume citizen contact types: rates, waste, parking, permits, and event bookings. | 20–30% reduction in contact centre volume for routine enquiries. | |
| Establish an API-first integration architecture that eliminates manual data re-entry between core systems. | Reduced administrative overhead and a foundation for future AI investment. | |
| Launch a citizen digital literacy program targeting seniors and non-English-speaking communities. | Digital adoption increases without excluding vulnerable community members. | |
| AI governance & predictive maintenance | Establish an AI governance framework defining accountability, explainability requirements, bias testing, and human review thresholds. | Legal and reputational risk managed proactively; community confidence maintained. |
| Model the full operating cost of each AI initiative (including usage, integration, data, security, vendor and oversight costs) and develop mitigation plans for significant cost increases as adoption scales. | AI budgets remain sustainable as usage grows. | |
| Pilot predictive maintenance for at least one asset class by combining IoT sensor data, maintenance records and inspection data. | Move from reactive to predictive maintenance within 24 months. | |
| Use digital twin or simulation tools for at least one major planning or infrastructure decision each year. | Better-informed capital decisions, reducing the risk of expensive course corrections. | |
| Invest in real-time community sentiment monitoring across contact data, social signals, and consultation responses. | Issues identified and addressed earlier, reducing reactive crisis management. | |
| Workforce of the future | Develop a skills-based workforce architecture that maps roles to capabilities rather than job titles. | Improved organisational agility; talent mobilised without formal restructuring. |
| Launch a comprehensive AI fluency program: mandatory literacy for all staff, role-specific training, and an AI champions network. | Workforce capable of working effectively alongside AI within 24 months. | |
| Design human-AI collaboration workflows for the three highest-volume administrative functions. | Productivity improvements with human accountability preserved. | |
| Partner with universities and TAFE for technology and digital apprenticeship pipelines. | A sustainable talent pipeline for critical digital roles. | |
| Climate adaptation & environmental leadership | Integrate climate risk into the asset management framework, assessing capital decisions against a minimum 2050 climate scenario. | Investment decisions that reduce stranded asset risk and insurance exposure. |
| Establish a real-time environmental monitoring network integrated with emergency management operations. | Earlier detection and response, improving safety outcomes. | |
| Develop a neighbourhood-level climate adaptation strategy for the five most vulnerable communities in the LGA. | Targeted investment delivers measurable risk reduction with visible accountability. | |
| Accelerate fleet and facility decarbonisation using energy performance contracts funded from future savings. | Net-zero trajectory established within 36 months without requiring rates funding. | |
| Community trust, equity & democratic renewal | Implement a continuous digital engagement platform enabling real-time community input, moving beyond annual consultation. | Decisions informed by richer data; community satisfaction increases and consultation costs reduce. |
| Establish a proactive equity audit of digital services to ensure digital-first delivery does not disadvantage vulnerable groups. | Digital transformation that delivers on equity obligations for all residents. | |
| Publish a transparent governance dashboard (procurement, performance, and financial actuals) updated quarterly. | Trust maintained; council positioned as a transparency leader in the sector. | |
| Design a structured community conversation program on the long-run sustainability challenge using scenario planning tools. | Community co-ownership of difficult decisions and a mandate for necessary reforms. |
Use these questions with your executive team to identify where leadership attention is most needed and what should enter the next planning and budget cycle.
| Focus area | Discuss with your leadership team |
|---|---|
| 1 · Leadership wisdom | Do our leaders know what the machine wrote, what it cannot see, and when to choose slowness on purpose? |
| 2 · Workforce capability | Could most of our staff use AI on real council work this week, safely, and knowing when judgement is required? |
| 3 · Revenue opportunities | Do we know the yield, cost and price basis of every line in our revenue portfolio? |
| 4 · IT foundations | Is our data clean, complete and accessible enough that an AI system built on it could be trusted? |
| 5 · Peer collaboration | When did we last reuse another council’s work, or offer them ours? |
Agree where leadership attention is most needed and what happens next.
Strategic provocations grounded in the structural trends and PESTEL analysis. Some are unlikely. Others are already unfolding. The value is not in predicting which will occur, but in testing whether your organisation is capable of responding if they do.
These scenarios are intended to be used with leadership teams, elected members, and senior planners to stress-test current strategic plans and long-term financial models.
Ninety minutes with your executive team. Pick three scenarios from different groups below. For each, ask three questions: could we respond? What breaks first? What would we wish we had already started? Capture the answers, then carry the three most common "wish we had started" items into your next annual plan.
In that scenario, what happens to parking demand and revenue? If shared autonomous vehicles reduce private car ownership, does your road and parking network need to be as large? Separately, if council invests in public charging, how resilient is charging-station revenue as battery range and charging behaviour change?
If vertiports become urban infrastructure, what does that mean for your planning scheme? Who manages the airspace above council land? Is your planning team aware of the regulatory and infrastructure preparation required?
For coastal councils, this is a 15-year operational planning horizon, not a long-term abstraction. Which assets require elevation or replacement? Do you have a coastal retreat policy, and have you modelled the consequences of not having one?
Most renewal models rest on incomplete asset registers and unvalidated life assumptions. If the gap is twice the modelled figure, what does that mean for your rates strategy, borrowing capacity, and service levels over the next decade?
Deloitte's analysis of 19,000 government tasks found material automation potential. What is your workforce transition strategy? What are your obligations under enterprise agreements? And if you don't act, will your costs remain 30% higher than organisations that do?
Municipal systems globally faced over 2,300 cyberattacks in 2024. If core systems are unavailable for 14 days, can you process rates, pay staff, or manage your fleet? Is your cyber maturity proportionate to the risk?
KPMG and Deloitte research consistently identifies data quality as the primary barrier to AI benefit realisation. Have you conducted an honest data maturity assessment? What is the minimum foundation required before AI investment will generate returns?
If a significant automated decision is later successfully challenged, can you demonstrate the process was lawful, explainable and free of bias? Who owns AI governance in your organisation today?
The proportion requiring aged-care-adjacent services, accessible infrastructure, and health-supporting environments will be materially larger than any current projection assumes. What does your financial model look like if aged care responsibilities keep shifting toward local government?
Are your services accessible to fast-growing, non-English-speaking communities? Do you have the data infrastructure to understand who is using your services, and who isn't?
In high-cost markets, councils struggle to recruit staff who cannot afford to live in the communities they serve. Have you considered workforce housing, commuting allowances, or remote work arrangements?
If effective rate increases are capped at 2% per annum while your cost base grows at 5–6%, what is the cumulative service gap over ten years? Which services are you prepared to stop delivering?
If a future state government decides to centralise development assessment or mandate shared services for finance and HR, how does that change your operating model? Is this a risk to plan for, or an opportunity to embrace?
The WEF found 68% of countries experienced rule-of-law declines in 2025. How robust is your integrity framework? Do you have a culture where staff feel genuinely safe raising concerns?
The value is not in predicting which scenario occurs. It is in knowing your organisation could respond.
A range of experienced voices to complement the research, followed by a closing word from Symphony3.
When I became CIO of the Kmart Group, I brought together, for the first time in Kmart or Target's history, the IT, advanced analytics, engineering, data and product management teams. Together we supported 50,000 employees in more than 500 stores, delivering more than ten million customer interactions every week and selling one billion units each year. One of the first questions I was asked was: "Who is our biggest competitor, and what will we do about it?" My answer was not what anyone expected. Our biggest threat was our own customers' expectations.
Customers do not compare your organisation only with organisations that look like yours. They compare every experience with the best experience they have had anywhere. Netflix changed expectations around personalisation. Uber changed expectations around convenience and visibility. Amazon changed expectations around speed. Those expectations do not stay inside those industries — they are boundaryless, and they follow customers everywhere.
A council might not consider DoorDash, Netflix or Airbnb to be in the same wheelhouse, but they are certainly influencing how your citizens view you and the services you provide.
Your benchmark for the next great experience is your last great experience. Once you start paying with your phone, cash feels inconvenient, and the council's multi-step web form now feels unacceptable. When you can get shopping delivered within hours, waiting a week for a council response feels archaic. The benchmark shifts instantly, and constantly. Seeing a car approach on a map changes expectations for all transport services — and for workflows within councils. Uber users want to know: where is my planning application up to? Netflix users want council websites to be simple, immediate, smooth and personalised. Recommendations for what's next would be nice too.
If your council service feels slower, harder or more confusing than your citizen's last great experience, you lose. To win, councils must embrace AI and design for the rising bar set by others — because your customer brings their best experience with them every time.
Technology changes faster than you can hire. ChatGPT was released to the public just before Christmas 2022. Claude Code became generally available in May 2025. You cannot hire someone with ten years of Claude experience, or someone who used it through a four-year degree — they do not exist. So you either continually hire the latest and greatest, or you help your team learn the skills required.
At Kmart I chose the latter. The skills we have today do not match the jobs of tomorrow. When I became CIO, I decided to train every single Kmart and Target IT person in cloud computing and get them certified in AWS. This was an ambitious undertaking: not a single company in the world had done it at this scale, not even Amazon itself. The most exciting outcome, apart from being first in the world, was the change in mindset we saw in the team. When a grandmother who last sat an exam in 1979 obtains a cloud certification in 2020 — and talks to her grandson about Fortnite running in the cloud — you have made a significant change to how staff see the business and solve problems, and opened doors for that individual that will never be closed. We had not simply taught someone a new technology. We had changed what that person believed they were capable of doing.
When I became Chief Transformation Officer at Village Roadshow, I took that concept one step further. With AWS, we created a 12-week gamified cloud-learning competition called the Guild Tournament. Teams learned together, collaborated across functions and submitted ideas to solve real business problems. The winning idea was actually built, and a lot of fun was had along the way. Everyone learned and upskilled, and the organisation got a batch of new ideas, stronger collaboration and greater confidence in what its people could achieve. The objective of transformation should not simply be to implement new technology. It should be to leave the organisation more capable than you found it.
"What is your biggest failure?" It is the interview question most people dread, but learning things the hard way cements the lesson. My biggest failure as Kmart's CIO is that I did not bring in outside help soon enough to accelerate our cloud journey. My intentions were noble: I wanted to control costs, build our skills internally and avoid solving a capability problem by simply hiring more people. But the gap in skills and capability was too big, we moved too slowly, and I did not bring anyone in from outside for a long time. Eventually I realised the error of my ways and hired Digi-Ren, AWS specialists. The effect was almost immediate — they provided the spark and the backstop that supercharged our cloud efforts, coached our team, and left us with skills that were self-sustaining.
That experience changed my view of leadership. You do not have to solve every problem yourself. The important thing is knowing where your capability ends, recognising the gap early, and bringing in the right expertise before the gap becomes a constraint. Good external support should not create dependency.
Help is always within reach. The key is knowing when you need it, who can provide it, and having the judgement to ask. No leader, team or organisation has every capability it needs at every point in its journey. The strongest leaders recognise the gaps early, bring in the right expertise and use it to build capability that remains long after the external support has gone. There are people and organisations ready, willing and able to assist — you already know some of them. You just have to ask.
Michael Fagan is Strategic Advisor to Symphony3. He was previously Group Chief Information Officer of the Kmart Group and Chief Transformation Officer of Village Roadshow.
"What is the city but the people?"
Shakespeare was right. People are, always have been, and always will be the backbone of Australia's communities, culture and quality of life.
To each other, in our communities, we provide care, love, friendship, support in tough times, essential services and a better quality of living. And over time, technology has enabled us to do this in ways we never would have imagined earlier in our lifetimes. Whether it be computerised library catalogues, online rates payments or smart rubbish bins, advances in the tools provided to our council workers have allowed them to give more back to our people.
And so, just as I tell my clients in business and federal government, councils must think of AI as the next step in empowering people to do more and give more back to our communities.
AI must be seen as a workforce opportunity, not a challenge.
This is timely, because the financial and workforce pressures on our councils are arguably the hardest they have been for decades. Budgets, and the salaries that can be afforded for the council workforce, are limited. In Victoria, 62 per cent of responding councils said that salaries and remuneration were the most significant driver of occupational shortages. And to add to this pressure, many skills essential for councils to run effectively are already in significant shortage: 81 per cent of responding Victorian councils reported occupational shortages in 2024–2025, in roles such as building surveyors, engineers, and urban and town planners.
But my time working with corporate and federal government clients has shown that this does not need to be a constraint.
AI will change the skills required, the ways of operating, and the breadth and depth of the work your teams can do. This will enrich the lives of council workers, not take away from the quality of their work.
And so the biggest constraint councils should worry about is not financial or occupational. It is emotional: fear. Or, more specifically, the fear of embracing AI when we need it most.
Panic makes people unproductive, more cautious and more defensive. Academics from Wharton and Boston have argued that many avoid AI because it threatens their expertise and autonomy. Others will simply choose to switch off. For Australia this is particularly pronounced: the University of Melbourne last year found Australians ranked the least optimistic towards AI of 47 surveyed countries.
From retirees to graduates, to mums returning from parental leave, to software engineers, to the most senior and successful executives in business, technology and strategy, almost no person I have ever spoken to is immune to worrying that their job will be taken.
Given the daily barrage of newspaper headlines carrying bold and unproven claims from tech giants that mass job loss is imminent and existential, we cannot be blamed for worrying. But that worry turns into a second job of its own. It tends to make people focus on self-preservation, resist change and worry about internal politics.
We must instead channel Roosevelt and remind ourselves: "the only thing we have to fear is fear itself".
AI provides councils, as it does all my clients, an opportunity to innovate and reimagine how and what is done for our country and communities.
But let's be clear on the facts of why, so you are armed with them for your conversations with your employees.
Firstly, a job is not a task. A job is a responsibility.
A maternal and child health nurse does so much more than weigh a baby. They sense how a mother is feeling, and judge how best to discuss a lack of weight gain in the baby. They take the weight history and combine it with context and inference to judge whether the baby needs medical help. The more that AI takes notes, records data and provides checklists, the more the nurse can focus on checking her intuition and considering how best to engage her patients on challenging topics that, in that moment, she — not the technology — is responsible for.
Secondly, technology on its own does not create change.
A London School of Economics study of police departments in the United States between 1987 and 2003 found that when departments used computerised record keeping they saw reported crime rise by about 10 per cent, because it made crimes easier to report. However, when that technology was combined with a broader management system that used crime data to deploy officers, solve problems and hold managers accountable, the proportion of crimes resulting in an arrest rose by approximately two percentage points — equivalent to roughly a 10 per cent improvement.
AI gives organisations — and councils are no exception — the opportunity to reimagine their operating model.
Counter to what we are frequently told, it is not hard to use either. Nor are you and your people too late.
In fact, the fundamental skills that make us good in the workplace are the same skills that make us good with AI. When we are curious, we experiment with AI. When we have good judgement and high standards, we know when to use AI to speed up a process and when we should not. When we bring IQ, we know when to question and how to probe the findings it gives us. When we have EQ, we know what will resonate and what will not. And most importantly, when we are confident, we know where and when we do things better than AI.
And so, with confidence, your people can quickly learn to adapt to AI, and to excel at using it to deliver better outcomes for your community.
Teaching those skills also makes councils a better place to work.
When a Stanford and MIT study looked at more than 5,000 customer service operators given an AI assistant, productivity rose by an average of 15 per cent. By putting the knowledge of the best performers within everyone's reach, those with the least experience gained the most.
When it is hard to pay high salaries — and even when it is not — I tell my clients to give their employees purpose, direction and growth. For a council, purpose exists in your very nature. To provide direction, you must quell any fear of job loss from AI and map out the path ahead.
And to grow your people, and to continue to evolve into the community and the city that Shakespeare spoke of, give them the tools, show them how to use them, and, importantly, tell them not to fear.
Together with your people, AI will help your cities grow.
Dr Vivienne Groves is Managing Director of Ero Co, a management consulting company advising business and federal government on strategy, operating models and AI adoption.
On average, around 40% of Australian local government revenue comes from sources other than general rates and utility charges; excluding grants, user charges and fees typically account for around 25% of council income. This is a larger — and more controllable — revenue base than most executives appreciate, and unlike capped rate revenue it is one a council can grow through its own effort. Yet it is actively, commercially managed in only a small minority of councils.
Revenue management is the discipline of deciding what to offer, to whom, when, and at what price — using data and segmentation rather than a static annual fee schedule. It transformed airlines, hotels and media; councils, already running aquatic centres, venues, carparks, childcare and waste services, are a natural if late addition. The levers are pricing, inventory, marketing and channels; the process is data collection, segmentation, forecasting, optimisation and continual re-evaluation.
Australian councils need to promote their services more consistently so residents know what is available and how to access it. Councils already own trusted local channels — websites, newsletters, facilities and community networks — but often use them unevenly. A more disciplined approach to community messaging would improve service awareness and could also attract appropriate government campaign funding or ethical sponsorship. Any paid content should meet clear public-interest standards, and councils should retain the right to decline or withdraw it. Revenue raised this way can reduce pressure on rates, especially for pensioners and fixed-income households.
Rates are capped. The ~25% from user fees and charges is the base a council can grow through its own effort — yet it is actively, commercially managed in only a small minority of councils.
Figure 8. Indicative Australian council revenue mix (Dow, 2016; sector averages).
Apply revenue management to existing services — indicatively 3–5% a year of growth on the user-charge base, with the lowest compliance risk.
Introduce new streams such as ethical advertising, sponsorship and community messaging.
Package a proven capability as a shared-service offer to peer councils.
Figure 9. Sequencing revenue management: stage the ambition to manage compliance and 'front page' risk.
The barriers are real — cost-recovery legislation, competitive neutrality, political will, and the 'front page' risk of a poorly communicated price rise — which is why staging matters. The starting point is the call to action above: know every detail of every line in your revenue portfolio, and commission a stage-one revenue and cost-basis review ahead of the next budget cycle.
This article is condensed from a companion paper prepared by Anthony Dow, author of Local Government Revenue Generation.
This paper asks council CEOs some uncomfortable questions about the decade ahead. It is only fair that we answer a few of them ourselves. Symphony3 is a small, Australian-owned technology company. We are not immune to the forces described in these pages — we are living them. So rather than offer advice from the sidelines, I want to share what leading through this actually looks like from inside a technology company, because I believe the lessons transfer directly to leading a council.
This paper asks what will change in the next ten years and what will not. We put the same two questions to ourselves, and the answers now shape how we run the company.
What will not change for Symphony3: our vision, our customers, our purpose, and our tagline — simple, connected customer experiences. Councils needed that before AI arrived and they will need it long after the current wave of tools has been forgotten. Those constants are settled, and we protect them.
What must change is how we deliver them. Technology now demands that we do things differently — and this is not optional. A technology company that keeps doing things the way it always has will eventually be extinct. It will also fail in a quieter duty: the duty we owe our people to help them develop and modify their roles for what is coming, rather than leaving them stranded in roles the market no longer values. We take both seriously. Survival and stewardship point in the same direction.
The most important shift we made was treating this as daily work, not a transformation program with an end date. We are working every day on what the new business model is — testing it, adjusting it, and building it into our business plans with the same discipline we would apply to a major product investment. AI done ad hoc produces interest but not results. We know, because we tried some of that first.
The practical engine of this is our intern program. We have brought five young interns into the business and partnered one with each of our product lines and with our business support function. Their job, alongside our experienced people, is to hunt for quick wins and automation — and to help us build new checkpoints into how we work. Fresh thinking from people born after the smartphone, paired with the deep domain knowledge of our existing team, deliberately breaking down the old barriers between functions. Neither works without the other.
None of this is abstract. The test we apply inside the business is simple: is AI reducing what it takes to build what we build? Our current investments are deliberate and concrete: tools and research that let us build and migrate websites more quickly; training our customers with content developed during the build phase, rather than writing it after the fact; fast-tracking how we build connectors between council systems; and automating testing. Each one drives down the cost and time of delivery, and each one was chosen because the benefit is measurable, not because the technology is fashionable.
The principle this paper puts to councils — redesign the work first, then apply the technology — is the same one we apply to ourselves. AI amplifies good processes and exposes bad ones. We have found no exceptions.
AI is also now part of what we sell — our Beetrix AI agent reviewing parking infringements at Warrnambool City Council is one example of AI moved from pilot to production. But we do not add AI to our solutions because it is fashionable. We add it where it strengthens the things that make us genuinely different, because the AI age will punish the undifferentiated. When anyone can generate software quickly, the value shifts to what cannot be generated — trust, domain knowledge, integration depth, and relationships built over years of service.
We are happy to be asked, because the principle is not new for us. Our SmartGlue integration platform was built around reuse: every connector we build for one council becomes available to the next, so each deployment gets faster and cheaper than the one before it. AI is now accelerating that same principle — and for us, honestly, that part is a work in progress, measured as we go rather than declared as done. Treat any vendor who tells you it is solved with more suspicion, not less.
Start where we started: name what will not change. Your community, your democratic mandate, your purpose — these are your constants, and they are stronger anchors than ours. Then be honest that everything about how you deliver them must be open to change, and that this is now daily work for the whole organisation, not a project on the side. I know your constraints are heavier than ours — enterprise agreements, elected members, and a community watching every change. The direction is the same; only the pace differs.
And treat your people as the point of the exercise, not the obstacle to it. Helping people develop and modify their roles for the AI age is not the price of transformation — it is a duty of leadership, and the organisations that honour it will keep the trust and the talent that the others lose.
John Nevins, Local Government Advisor, Strategy & Digital, describes the leadership task well: management gets things done, while leadership creates the environment in which people and the organisation can be at their best. For councils adopting AI, that means giving employees the tools, training and space to learn how to apply it in service of organisational purpose.
The opportunity in front of councils is the same one in front of us. It will not be captured by waiting, and it will not be captured ad hoc. Same purpose, different way of working — worked on every day. That is what we are doing, and we are happy to compare notes along the way.
Thomas Hynes is Chief Executive Officer of Symphony3, an Australian-owned technology and integration company serving local government across Australia and New Zealand.
The following sources were used in the preparation of this paper. Where available, hyperlinks to publicly accessible versions are provided in the digital edition.
Note 1. The PESTEL analysis in Section 1 synthesises factors identified across Deloitte Government Trends 2026; KPMG PSN Local Government Focus Day 2026; WEF Global Risks Report 2026; Deloitte Global Economic Outlook 2026; the Davidson Australian Local Government CEO Index 2025; Intermedium's 2026 Digital Government Maturity Indicator; and LGPro's AI Adoption in Victorian Local Government — Sector Baseline Report 2026.
Note 2. The six structural trends in Figure 2 consolidate the eleven megatrends most commonly identified in the World Economic Forum and comparable foresight literature, grouped by the demand each places on a council rather than by originating discipline.
If this paper has prompted questions about AI adoption, service redesign, digital foundations or revenue resilience, Symphony3 can help turn those ideas into practical initiatives.
Fergal Coleman · fcoleman@symphony3.comThis paper was produced by Symphony3, a Melbourne-based technology and integration company with more than 13 years of experience serving Australian and New Zealand local government councils. Symphony3 holds AWS Public Sector Partner status and serves approximately 23 councils through its SmartGlue integration platform, Beetrix AI, and Citizen Experience Platform.
It draws on external research from Deloitte, KPMG, the World Economic Forum, the Davidson Institute, and other cited sources, as well as research from Intermedium, LGPro, and Symphony3's own strategic research. The paper is intended as an independent strategic contribution to the local government sector and does not constitute professional advice.
Use of AI and verification. Research and drafting assistance was provided by Claude (Anthropic), under the direction of Symphony3. The paper was reviewed and edited by human contributors, and reasonable steps were taken to verify cited statistics against the sources listed. Given the pace of change and the forward-looking nature of the analysis, readers should treat figures and projections as current at the date of publication and verify them before relying on them for material decisions.